Know The Seasonality Of Commodity Trading Market

Article Written By: Lan Turner

The best way to go about conducting your stock trading business is to think about it calendar-wise. It's true, everything has a season and trading is no different whenever you consider the seasonality of markets. When you correlate and identify your past market performance on a month-to-month basis, then you'll be able to identify and learn to expect when the markets you choose have the best entry time and then the exit time.

It is just an instance of how to conduct a small portion of your commodity trading efforts. The seasonality of markets is never a sure bet and you should never rely only on this type of market timing as the only type of investment you make.

Using a calendar method to find the seasonality of markets can work for some if there are certain other market timing strategies implemented. The calendar seasonality works on a six month stock purchase and also stock sell season. It has been shown to be a good indicator to follow from a really old phrase coined by Wall Street-Sell in May, Go Away.

The seasonality of markets used by this tactic signals that the best buy symbol is on or about the beginning of the month of November. Hang on till the next year and about the end of April is the sell signal. This method has often shown one of the best best time of stock trading performance. This has been shown to work about 70% of the time since 1957 by S and P 500 and has usually shown a gain of nearly 6% for those months.

The difference being that with the seasonality of markets your stock trading efforts only see a return of less than 1% in the 6 months of May to October. This is the summer trade season and it falls off like this as so many traders go on vacation so trading is low and slow for summer. Some traders though, can find great stock trading markets in this season if they're short term traders. Consider other seasonality of markets cycles when stock trading.

It is shown historically you can make higher return to the tune of about 17% in Pre-election years. Election years follow in second place with the average of gains being about 5%. The worst time, if following the seasonality of market trends will be post-election years and mid-term election years. As you can see any stock trading venture is an unknown adventure. Therefore, the seasonality of the markets is as good a strategy as any other types of methods.

About the Author

Mr. Turner has been working in the financial industry for over 19 years, and has taught his Futures, Forex, Stock & commodity trading ideas and concepts to clients, professional traders, and brokers from around the world. Visit the website http://www.trademiner.com

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